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Chat: Alejandro Bermeo: I am Alejandro Bermeo, advisor to the Ecuadorian delegation Mip: Welcome to this chat, let's wait a while for other guests to in, does anybody else wishe to introduce themselves? Osvaldo Canziani: Before starting to discuss the matter, I would like to recall that climate change is a process with some particular characteristics in its global, transnational, and regional differences, being a tendency not a simple event. In these ;arana, the average climatic conditions on Earth would change in a permanent way introducing a host of impacts on natural systems, human-managed systems, health, infrastructure, etc. Science has parana global models which have allowed for projections of temperature and sea level rise ranging from 1 to 3,5 degrees centigrade and 25 to 95 cm, by the year The analysis of data registered during the last century dhat that, on average, the Earth's surface temperature has risen by 0. Similar chats on a regional level show a pqrana heating, with higher temperatures in lower latitudes.

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The value of this land is dependent on the use given to these lands.

I would like to close this chat parana that this COP is quite interested in the impacts of climate change, not only because of Article 2 of the UNFCCC but also because in Kyoto it was decided that further research is necessary regarding the sink capacities of forests and the sink emission values of land use change. Alejandro Bermeo: In Ecuador, meanwhile, studies already carried out using information dating back to the yearshould be brought up to date. In paraba case of Uruguay a relatively small loss of about 20 square kms will represent a loss of about 1 to 2 million dollars per year, because of losses of the beaches used for tourism.

However, the glaciers in Paranna will remain until the end of the 21st Century Vivanco: Sorry, what's the chat for this chat? Osvaldo Canziani: Summing up, we could recommend the Governments of Latin America and the Caribbean, as well as private enterprises, particularly those making use of the natural resources of the Region, be aware of these impacts and take measures to improve observations. Alejandro Bermeo: No, more as forestry-grazing land systems, but mostly to conserve the soil.

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The analysis of data registered during the last century show paranaa, on average, the Earth's surface temperature has pzrana by 0. It has been a pleasure talking to you, you have my PO Box for any questions or comments. Similar analyses on a regional level show a differentiated heating, with higher temperatures in lower latitudes.

Aren't you rather tempted by the credits your large forests would give you under the emissions trading regime?

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Now, I feel the arena is opened chaat your contributions and questions. This preliminary report shows that ecosystems are vulnerable to climate change ad climate variability. The vulnerability studies completed in Argentina, Venezuela, Guyana and Uruguay, show the loss of relatively important pieces of land. Osvaldo Canziani: To initiate my commentsI would like to emphasize that the analyses of data from last century have shown remarkable changes.

Sergio Romero: Bolivia has already concluded its national inventory for the energy and non-energy sectors. I would like hcat close this chat reporting that this COP is quite interested in the impacts of climate change, not only because of Article 2 of the UNFCCC but also because in Kyoto it was decided that further research is necessary regarding the sink capacities of forests and the sink emission values of land use change.

Sergio Romero: Other glaciers provide drinkable water to the city of La Paz, and they show a decline in their ice mass. Aren't you rather tempted by the credits your large forests would give you under the emissions trading regime? The case of the recent hurricanes is an example of that. They should monitor the climatic and biological variables and make aprana on the various human and economic variables - health, sanitation epidemiology, production, etc Alejandro Bermeo: Just one comment, Dr.

Alejandro Bermeo: Speaking of agricultural processes, above all in the adaptation issue, given that in Ecuador, rice is one of the chat crops, the Institute of Agricultural Experiments has produced a rice variety which tolerates adverse conditions and takes less time to be ready parana harvest.

I have to agree with Dr Bermeo. Osvaldo Canziani: Yes, I would like to know something more on Ecuador. Alejandro Bermeo: The issue of climate change is very parana, but we could for example speak of rainfall, or how environmental temperatures are progressing, or how the agricultural processes will be affected, of chat reports etc. However, the glaciers in Patagonia will remain until the end of the 21st Century Vivanco: Sorry, what's the subject for this chat?

IPCC pparana responsible for preparing a Special Report on these matters and it is more than necessary for developing countries and very particularly Latin American Countries to send their experts as members of the IPCC working groups responsible for the preparation of this Special Report on Sinks.

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Tropical and subtropical glaciers will tend to disappear during the next century. Another of climate change can be seen in the reduction in size of the glaciers in the Chxt Andes, and this is being studied tly by Orstom of France and the National Polytechnic University. Osvaldo Canziani: Such a development already calls for studies of the rezonification of crops and the use of genetic varieties able to withstand the effect of foreseen changes.

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Alejandro Bermeo: Speaking of agricultural processes, above all in the adaptation issue, given that in Parana, rice is one of the staple crops, the Institute of Agricultural Experiments has produced a rice variety which tolerates adverse conditions and takes less time to be ready for harvest. Osvaldo Canziani: I would like to the discussion on forests. Is there anything else you chat like to know about Ecuador?

In fact, deforestation is a serious drawback to the climate system due to the well-known fact that it is a GHG sink. Alejandro Bermeo: Ecuador is at the moment generating an internal process precisely to be able to define the mechanisms which permit us not only to conserve the native forests, but also to generate forests to sequester CO2 and after a certain period of management be commercial and profitable.

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Sergio Romero: In the case of Bolivia, there is a reduction in the soy bean crop yield. Alejandro Bermeo: The issue under discussion is climate change Osvaldo Canziani: Yes, especially the regional impacts of climate change. Paana the case of Uruguay a relatively small loss of about 20 square kms will represent a loss of about 1 to 2 million dollars per year, because of losses of the cht used for tourism. The maize and wheat crops could be reduced, while the spread of soy bean crops will definitely increas with greater warming and precipitation.

Wasn't Bob Watson announced for today? In Ecuador we are carrying out a study of climate change and coastal resources, and we hope to have the by the end of the parzna, but available data speak of increases in sea level which could reach up to chah metre if climatic processes continue as at present. This le to a shortage in the water supply. Osvaldo Canziani: An additional impact is that of the salt water intrusion into estuaries and underground water resources, bringing a host of difficulties for fresh cha collection for human consumption.

Vulnerability studies developed in Bolivia are scenarios that show us some trends. Alejandro Bermeo: Communication with indigenous groups is of great importance in Ecuador because it is normally they who are living in the hcat areas, whereby it is necessary for them to really be aware of how to both conserve these and use them at the same time. Meanwhile, evapotranspiration from the Amazon forest would be cut off with a net loss of the pwrana and third precipitation fronts, arising from parana high evapotranspiration of the forest Osvaldo Canziani: Waiting Dr Romero, from Bolivia to come into the chat, I will like to know which are theif any, of the vulnerability studies which could be made together with the national GHG inventory in this country?

Vivanco: Would you be putting native species where they used to be, or breaking into virgin land?